View Full Version : Apophosis asteroid has 1/450 chance of hitting earth now...wanna hump me?

04-16-2008, 05:38 AM
BERLIN (AFP) - A 13-year-old German schoolboy corrected NASA's estimates on the chances of an asteroid colliding with Earth, a German newspaper reported Tuesday, after spotting the boffins had miscalculated.

Nico Marquardt used telescopic findings from the Institute of Astrophysics in Potsdam (AIP) to calculate that there was a 1 in 450 chance that the Apophis asteroid will collide with Earth, the Potsdamer Neuerster Nachrichten reported.

NASA had previously estimated the chances at only 1 in 45,000 but told its sister organisation, the European Space Agency (ESA), that the young whizzkid had got it right.

The schoolboy took into consideration the risk of Apophis running into one or more of the 40,000 satellites orbiting Earth during its path close to the planet on April 13 2029.

Those satellites travel at 3.07 kilometres a second (1.9 miles), at up to 35,880 kilometres above earth -- and the Apophis asteroid will pass by earth at a distance of 32,500 kilometres.

If the asteroid strikes a satellite in 2029, that will change its trajectory making it hit earth on its next orbit in 2036.

Both NASA and Marquardt agree that if the asteroid does collide with earth, it will create a ball of iron and iridium 320 metres (1049 feet) wide and weighing 200 billion tonnes, which will crash into the Atlantic Ocean.

The shockwaves from that would create huge tsunami waves, destroying both coastlines and inland areas, whilst creating a thick cloud of dust that would darken the skies indefinitely.

The 13-year old made his discovery as part of a regional science competition for which he submitted a project entitled: "Apophis -- The Killer Astroid."

link: http://news.yahoo.com/s/afp/spaceastronomygermany;_ylt=Aqxe3hW6Ia361liXizp4E_3tiBIF

04-16-2008, 05:39 AM
Cool...free iridium.

04-16-2008, 05:46 AM
Sometimes I think we'd be better off not knowing about the universe around us.

04-16-2008, 08:18 AM

04-16-2008, 08:31 AM
Originally posted by herrokitty
stupid kid. his calculations were flawed from the start. he forgot to divide by the number filipinos in the bible.

04-16-2008, 09:14 AM
for those of you who has trust issues,

add to your list:

Internet news, &

German school boys.

04-16-2008, 09:53 AM
See...NASA is still trying to cover up the truth.

1/450 folks, mark my word!

04-16-2008, 10:04 AM
Don't worry. Bruce Willis will save us from the nasty asteroid.

04-16-2008, 10:09 AM
Originally posted by feralmuppet
Don't worry. Bruce Willis will save us from the nasty asteroid.

Chuck Norris already destroyed the asteroid with his will power this morning, as soon as he heard about the fake new story.

04-16-2008, 10:20 AM
why call it killer asteroid? it doesn't have a criminal record.

04-16-2008, 01:15 PM
What are the odds of us getting hemorrhoids?

04-16-2008, 01:31 PM
2029? I should start building my credit debit in 2025 if we're not already dead by then.

04-16-2008, 01:56 PM
If it hits us, we can just deny it.

04-16-2008, 02:13 PM
I think we should invade it before it gets the chance to hit us.

You don't want the smoking gun to be a giant planet-killing asteroid.